What’s Next for Sears?

On February 10, 2016, Sears announced the forthcoming closure of 50 of their ‘underperforming’ stores. The closures would happen ‘quickly’, the company said in a printed statement, hoping for asset sales of $300 million as it continues its years-long restructuring and search for a place in the retail market.

Sears’ revenues are down almost a billion dollars from this time last year, and their stock price has been halved over the same period. What was once the world’s largest retailer in the 1970s become a shadow of its former self, in danger of disappearing altogether if leadership doesn’t find a way to restore some of its market appeal. Understanding how the 123-year old retailer got to this stage requires a multi-pronged review, but it boils down to a failure to react to changes in its existing market, including consumer behavior, competition, and the emergence of technology. Strategy 101, many of you are thinking, correctly, yet the losses continue.

The Home Depot, Lowes and big box retailers have changed the way appliances and hardware are sold. Many former Sears customers now look to Target (in the US) and Wal-Mart for apparel and household goods. Their travel agency business has largely migrated to DIY, either on-line or with toll-free call centers. Canadian Tire, Wal-Mart and Pep Boys have hammered their auto service, while furniture sales have also gone big box. The business now resembles a picked-over carcass in many areas.

But, the lights are still on, which means there remain customers who continue to shop at Sears. What is more, you know who those customers are. When asked, ‘Who shops at Sears?’, people respond, ‘my parents’, ‘the in-laws’, or even ‘old people’. Certainly not Millennials or many Gen-X. Can we make a retail business with a demographic that is, well, aging? I think so. These are the Boomers; there are a lot of them, and to a large extent, they have money.

Sears, however, continues to pursue an all-things-to-all-people strategy, which means no one customer group is served well. Some recent articles talk about their target segment as being represented by ‘Amy’, a middle-class woman with children who drives a minivan. While that is more specific than they have been in years, Sears will have to pull Amy away from Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Kroger and Target; once she is done in those stores, perhaps we will see her at Sears.

Could Sears build an operating strategy that supports the customers that come there already? Let’s start with what we know about the Boomer customers. With age comes potential mobility issues, corrective lenses, and less inclination to fix or repair things ourselves. They are less tech savvy, and even intimidated by some technologies such as on-line shopping and bill payment. This group is also very loyal when treated fairly. There are obviously exceptions, but most people born before 1965 will exhibit at least some age related afflictions or behaviors.

For me, the foundation of an effective operating strategy is knowing your customer. The more we know our customer, the better we can tailor our operations to serve these people well. With that foundation in mind, here are perhaps a few ways to accommodate the needs of a boomer retail customer:

Customer Behaviour or Challenge

Reduced mobility

Operating Tactics

Wider store aisles
Loaner ‘Scooters’ in store
Sitting or rest areas in-store
Pick-up service for non-drivers
Enhanced carry-out, delivery, assembly
Parking lots with larger spaces

Vision or hearing challenge

Larger fonts on price tags, receipts, labels
Viewing screens at all POS locations

Technology ‘Readiness’

Continue with paper bills
Offer coaching for on-line sales
Facilitate returns for on-line purchases

Operating Format

Open earlier; close earlier (7am to 7pm?)
Shop in City A; Deliver to City B (Gifts)

By no means are these inexpensive proposals, so within the older demographic, Sears would have to concede cost-sensitive customers to retailers like Wal-Mart. The product mix could also be reduced. Many seniors no longer do their own home repairs – my father, for example, go rid of his power tools years ago. Those that need a drill will see a larger selection at Home Depot regardless. Electronics and appliances could stay, but Costco and Best Buy are strong in these markets. Store size and related investment could shrink with a simplified product mix. Perhaps introduce a line of mobility aids.

There certainly isn’t a magic bullet for Sears, and even the ideas above would require examination with focus groups and a pilot test. It may be too late, and Sears shortly follows the lengthening list of organizations who lost sight of their customer while markets changed around them. Until they pick a customer, however, and serve, the downward slope is getting steeper.

The Perils of Forgetting Your Customer

In 1954, behavioral academic Gregory Stone published his seminal research identifying 4 types of consumers, including Personalizing, Convenience, Ethical and Economizing. Think about some of your recent service experiences as a consumer, and try to identify which ‘type’ you are. For most of us, the answer is, it depends. For clothing or electronics, you likely choose items that identify with who you are, and personalize the experience. When looking for something simple like shampoo or toothpaste, it might be about convenience (which store is closest?) or cost (what else do I need at Wal-Mart?).

It is interesting that even 60 years later, Stone’s customer categorizations for the most part still stand. More importantly, organizations that ignore or fail to recognize who their customers really are do so at their peril. When working with students or executives on strategy or innovation, I look at two fundamental questions – Who is your customer, and what does that customer really want? Knowing who your customer is today enables service operations and drives a successful customer experience. Understanding tomorrow’s customers sets the table for effective innovation.

Let’s look at a couple of recent examples.

The first is McDonald’s, who have struggled in recent years with an expanding menu, slower service and numerous failed product launches. In 2013, McDonald’s launched ‘Mighty Wings’ at 14,000 of their locations across the U.S. Eight weeks later, they were left with 10 million pounds of undigested wings in inventory as the product had flopped (flapped?) with customers. The problem wasn’t the wing itself – customers actually loved the big, meaty wing. At a buck a piece, however, they were too expensive for a McDonald’s patron.

Some of us eat at McDonald’s, some don’t, but over the years, most of us have dined under the golden arches at one time or another. With over 7% of the U.S. market by number of restaurants, McDonald’s is still almost three times the size of its nearest competitor, Subway. Innovation blunders like Mighty Wings don’t help the cause, so let’s drill down a bit. In Stone’s language, who really are the typical McDonald’s customers? Convenience, sure. With so many locations, long hours and generally fast service, we can get in and out in a hurry when we are hungry. Some might also say Economizing, in that ‘dinner out’ runs about $10/person, less than most sit-down type establishments. Personalizing and Ethical don’t really enter the discussion when we talk about McDonald’s, and it could even be argued that some of McDonald’s recent struggles are a result of being less convenient (larger menus slow down service) and less economizing, to the point where traditional McDonald’s customers are growing weary.

What concerns me the most is that McDonald’s doesn’t seem to be learning from their mistakes. Now on their third CEO in three years, they are innovating again, and once again forgetting who their customers are and what they really want. This week, the House of Ronald launched the ‘Your Taste’ menu as a trial in one of their New York locations . In a nice bit of process innovation, the restaurant installed touch screens where patrons place their own orders, giving the customers control over the process. Customers select their bun or bread, meat, toppings and sauces. Sounds great, right? Perhaps not, with the price of this new burger at 12 bucks. So, two BIG problems with this – The first is that the customer-driven order process will likely slow down the ordering process on a menu that includes over 100 items, especially in groups or families who crowd around the screen asking each other, ‘What are you having?’. Second, and more importantly, McDonald’s won’t attract customers willing to pay $12 for a burger. There are lots of people (myself included) who will pay $12 for a hamburger or chicken sandwich, but only at a roadhouse or gourmet burger shop. A premium burger like that is a personalizing experience, and McD’s doesn’t draw those customers. For me, this means back to the drawing board.

Another example comes from Elon Musk’s garage at Tesla, and on the surface, seems very exciting. Musk recently announced the introduction of a new Tesla SUV, the Model X. http://www.teslamotors.com/en_CA/modelx This is a good looking, small SUV typical of Tesla’s styling and features, and set to launch in 2016 (you can reserve one on-line!). So what’s the problem? Think back to those shaping questions for our strategy and innovation – who is the customer, and what do they want? Who are SUV customers? They are just about any age, but are active, and generally haul a lot of ‘stuff’, from golf clubs, to baby and toddler gear (aka the luggage club), to skies, bikes and paddle boards. What do those SUV customers want? The storage space, performance and utility to get them and their gear where they are going.

Here is the rub. Tesla’s new Model X introduced a sexy set of ‘falcon-wing’ doors on the back of the vehicle. Credit first to the designers for not using the term ‘gull-wing’ doors from the 1980s – gulls are not a sexy beast. The falcon-wing doors look great, but how do I put a roof-rack on the truck? How do I put stuff on my roof rack with the doors open? Any of you who have done this appreciate that you need to open the front and rear doors to install the racks, ski boxes or other gear on the roof. You stand on the door liner and load up. You could, in theory, keep the rear doors closed and use a step ladder to install and load the roof system in the comfort of your garage, but the fancy doors pretty much mean you need to bring that step ladder with you to unload at the ski hill. Worse yet, with a roof rack installed, you have to leave the kids at home – the back doors won’t open with the ski box on top.

Most of us give full credit to Musk and his minions for their creativity and innovation. From Paypal to Tesla to his Giga-factory battery plant to Space X and others, Musk continues to push the envelope and drive products and services in new directions. In this case, however, what we might refer to as a rare miss, the team forgot about the customer. SUV customers want a roof, and the Model X’s isn’t accessible. An important tenant of innovation is that it is OK to fail – time for Tesla to learn from this failure, cancel the fancy rear doors go to a traditional design in time for launch.

Think about your innovation process. Is the team thinking about your customers? Who are those customers, and what do they want? Most importantly, what will they want next year? Then, how will you deliver? Failure to takes these questions into account lead to failed innovations like Mighty Wings and falcon-wings, and others that are likely to underperform through a misalignment to customer needs and tastes.

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑